We will again ask you these questions about various facts about the world, about history, and about your beliefs about those facts.
1. In what YEAR was the American Declaration of Independence signed?
2. How large is the circumference of the EARTH in MILES to the nearest THOUSAND miles? Please do not type any comma in the box, or add any smaller digits, but just answer to the nearest THOUSANDS of miles. For example, if you think it is 5,000 miles around the equator, just type in "5"; if you think it is 10,000 miles, just type in "10", but don't type in anything else. THOUSAND MILES
3. How many pounds of beef are consumed, on average, in the USA per person per year? POUNDS
4. How many people (including citizens and noncitizens) live in the USA, in MILLIONS, to the nearest MILLION? Please do not type any commas into the box, but just the number of MILLIONS. So, if you think there are 500,000,000 people in the USA, type in "500"; if you think 800,000,000, type in "800". That is, just type your best estimate to the nearest MILLION people.
5. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 400? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
6. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 575? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
7. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 750? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
8. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 925? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
9. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 960? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
10. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 981? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
11. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 995? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
12. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 1016? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
13. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 1030? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
14. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 1044? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
15. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 1065? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
16. Was Attila defeated BEFORE the year 1100? AFTER that date BEFORE that date
17. What is your best estimate of the exact year in which Attila the Hun was defeated?
18. How confident are you that your answer is within 100 years of the correct value? Very Unconfident Very Confident
For the next two items, choose lowest and highest estimates of the year, so that you are 95% confident that the right answer falls between the two numbers.
19. What is the LOWEST YEAR that it might plausibly be?
20. What is the HIGHEST year that it might plausibly be?
21. How did you know or learn about Attila the Hun? How do you know or how did you estimate the year of his defeat?
Female Male
23. What is your age? years.
24. What is the highest level of education you have completed? Choose from this list Less than 12 years Graduated High School (12 years education) Some College (13-15 years education) Graduated from College (Bachelor's degree) Master's degree Advanced Grad School beyond Master's degree Doctoral Degree (Ph.D., M.D., J.D., etc.)
25. Nationality (country of birth):
LAST NAME:
FIRST NAME:
CWID:
EMAIL ADDRESS:
Please check your answers. When you are done, push the button below.