Instructions for Measuring Knowledge: Part C

We will again ask you questions about various facts about the world, about history, and about your beliefs about those facts.

1. How many countries are members of the United Nations?

2. What is the average daily high temperature in BOSTON, MA in January, in degrees F, rounded to the nearest degree? Please don't type decimals: if you think the average temperature is 5.7 degrees in January, just round off and type "6"; if you think it is 10.1, just type "10".
DEGREES F

3. What year did Japan bomb Pearl Harbor, bringing the USA into World War II?

4. How old (in years) is the average person who would be described as "middle-aged"?

The next 16 questions are about the AMOUNT OF GASOLINE used per MONTH (in gallons) by the average car registered in the USA. Please read through the next 13 questions before you answer the next set of questions. For each trial, answer whether you think the average amount of gas used per month is MORE or LESS than the amount given. Scroll down and look at the possible amounts, then answer the questions.

5. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 30 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

6. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 31 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

7. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 32 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

8. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 34 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

9. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 45 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

10. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 60 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

11. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 62 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

12. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 64 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

13. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 65 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

14. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 66 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

15. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 68 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

16. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 70 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

17. Average gasoline consumption MORE or LESS than 80 gallons/month?
MORE      LESS

18a. What is your best estimate of the average amount of gasoline consumed per month by a car in the USA, in gallons?

18b. How confident are you that your answer (in #18a) is within 10 gallons of the correct value?
Very Unconfident   Very Confident

For the next two items, choose lowest and highest estimates of the average monthly gasoline consumption, so that you are 95% confident that the right answer falls between the two numbers.

19. What is the SMALLEST AMOUNT that it might plausibly be?

20. What is the LARGEST AMOUNT that it might plausibly be?

21. How did you know or learn about gasoline consumption in the USA? or How did you estimate the average consumption of gasoline?

22. Are you Male or Female?
Female
Male

23. What is your age? years.

24. What is the highest level of education you have completed?

25. Nationality (country of birth):

CSUF STUDENTS: Please provide the following information so that we can give you credit for your participation.

LAST NAME:

FIRST NAME:

CWID:

EMAIL ADDRESS:

Please check your answers. When you are done, push the button below.

Thank You!